The end of Israel's special relationship?
Posted: Monday, May 18, 2009 10:28 AM
Filed Under:
Tel Aviv, Israel
By Martin Fletcher, NBC News Correspondent
TEL AVIV – America has always related to Israel with the carrot, but now Israelis fear the stick will be President Barack Obama’s implement of choice. Maybe not right away, but soon.
As Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (also known as "Bibi") and Obama meet on Monday for the first time since each assumed office, Israel’s media, fed by government sources, are reaching a crescendo of hysteria: Is this the end of Israel’s special relationship with America?
One analyst hoped so – writing that the only American president who really helped Israel was, the now much reviled here, Jimmy Carter.
He helped cobbled together Israel’s peace treaty with Egypt by brow-beating then-Prime Minister Menachem Begin into giving up on his promises not to cede an inch of land. As a result of the Camp David Accords, Begin eventually gave up all of Sinai – winning a peace agreement with Egypt that stands firm today and is in no serious jeopardy.
So there are mixed feelings in Israel. On the one hand, nobody likes or wants to be bullied by America; while on the other many analysts accept that it is only by having its figurative head knocked together with the Palestinians’ that any progress towards peace is likely.
However, the 30-minister right-wing Israeli government is in no mood to compromise. They do not want Netanyahu to accept a two-state solution and they do not want to give up any settlements in the West Bank – while both issues appear to be near the top of Obama’s agenda.
Netanyahu will have to somehow ride out American pressure without ruining relations with Obama, while also satisfying his Israeli electorate that he hasn’t caved in like Begin.
Will Barack like Bibi?
The most immediate issue, however, is what kind of personal chemistry will the two men have? Or put even more simply, will Barack like Bibi?
On this the Israeli media have little faith.
Netanyahu is widely dismissed as, to summarize the local press, a lying schemer, and insiders have been saying for days that Obama’s advisors are as attuned to Netanyahu’s ways as the Israelis themselves.
The only clear dissidents, the only group that sees things differently, who are convinced that all is well between Barack and Bibi and that nothing will change, are the Arabs.
Israeli Arabs, as well as Palestinians, are convinced that nothing will change as a result of the new U.S. administration and that America continues to be as beholden to Israel and the Jewish lobby as it ever was. Their analysts expect no American pressure on Israel.
For once, Israeli leaders are listening to the Palestinians and hope that they are right.
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